DeriveDeribit
Trade on DeriveBTC, ETH, SOL, XRP and HYPE options are priced for less movement than the market has actually delivered this month. The steadiest traders on the exchange are net short $792.3K of ETH delta. Updated 22:37 UTC; refreshes every five minutes.
Each idea is recorded the first time it fires and marked at the current mid every 15 minutes; expired legs settle at intrinsic. Return is per unit of the structure as a share of the entry cost, before fees. Ideas open for less than a day are not scored yet.
Buy the bull call spread BTC 78k/80k 20 Sep 26 on Derive.
KoolKrypto (@koolkrypto223), a wallet we follow, paid $53k for 200 of them on Derive by RFQ (buy BTC 78k call, 20 Sep 26, sell BTC 80k call, 20 Sep 26) with BTC at $75,652. Large active book, about $1B notional and +$8M realized a month. Explained the ETH March-27 call-spread thesis on X on 11 Sep 2026.
Rule: Followed wallet traded $30.26M notional, 2026-09-16 16:41 UTC.
Buy the 25 Sep 1.3 straddle on Deribit.
XRP has moved at 100% annualised over the last month (94% over the last week), but options are only pricing 59%. When the market moves more than options price in, owning options pays.
Rule: Implied 59% vs realized 100%, ratio 0.59 (rule fires below 0.85).
Sell 1× BTC 70k put, 2 Oct 26.
KoolKrypto (@koolkrypto223), a wallet we follow, collected $32k for 50 of them on Derive by RFQ (sell BTC 70k put, 2 Oct 26) with BTC at $75,978. Large active book, about $1B notional and +$8M realized a month. Explained the ETH March-27 call-spread thesis on X on 11 Sep 2026.
Rule: Followed wallet traded $3.80M notional, 2026-09-15 15:04 UTC.
Buy the 25 Sep 2.4k straddle on Deribit.
ETH has moved at 73% annualised over the last month (49% over the last week), but options are only pricing 50%. When the market moves more than options price in, owning options pays.
Rule: Implied 50% vs realized 73%, ratio 0.68 (rule fires below 0.85).
Buy the 25 Sep 1.3k straddle on Derive.
ZEC has moved at 162% annualised over the last month (203% over the last week), but options are only pricing 115%. When the market moves more than options price in, owning options pays.
Rule: Implied 115% vs realized 162%, ratio 0.71 (rule fires below 0.85).
Buy on Deribit at $35.39, sell on Derive at $40.
The ETH 5k call, 26 Mar 27 is offered at $35.39 on Deribit and bid at $40 on Derive. After both venues' fees that is $3.16 per contract of locked-in edge.
Rule: 13.1 bps of forward after fees (rule fires above 5 bps).
Implied is the at-the-money vol interpolated to 30 days from the live chain; realized is the annualised standard deviation of daily index moves over the last 30 days. Below 0.85× we call options cheap, above 1.25× expensive. Smart money is the top quarter of wallets by risk-adjusted 90-day results, among those that made at least $5k and traded in the last two weeks, with market makers removed; the bar under each asset is their net delta as a share of their gross book. The wall is the strike with the most open interest within 5% of spot on the nearest expiry. Ideas are generated by fixed rules from these numbers, not by a person or a model; payoff diagrams are per unit at expiry and ignore fees. Notable trades are ranked by size against the wallet's usual size, distance from spot, smart-money or followed status, price versus Deribit's mark, and package legs. Alerts are aggressor fills over $250k notional in options (with at least $2k premium) or $1M in perps, over $50k by a smart-money wallet, or over $10k by a wallet we follow by hand; market makers are left out of the whale rows. The same rules feed the Telegram alerts.